Women’s NCAA Tournament Odds: Stanford & UConn in a Tier Above the Field

Photo by Soobum Im/Getty Images. Pictured: Stanford Women’s Basketball Team

Although Stanford is ranked the No. 2 team in the country, the Cardinal are the betting favorite to win the women’s NCAA Tournament ahead of No. 1 UConn.

Stanford is the top seed in the Alamo Region directly opposite on the bracket of the Huskies, who will be without head coach Geno Auriemma to start the tournament due to COVID-19. The teams appear headed for a collision course in the final as they’re a tier above the rest of the field on the oddsboard.

Stanford is +150 with UConn right behind at +250 at DraftKings. The third and fourth teams on the board are Maryland and South Carolina at +700. They’re also the top two seeds in the same bracket.

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The Cardinal, led by head coach Tara VanDerveer, average 78 points a game, outscoring opponents by 25 points per game. That’s due to a balanced scoring effort with four players averaging double figures, including leading scorer Kiana Williams (14.3 points per game). Stanford lost back-to-back games in January, the only blemishes on a 25-2 season.

While Stanford has wins over ranked opponents in Oregon, UCLA and Arizona, none match UConn’s win over then-No. 1 South Carolina. The Huskies are 24-1, but have only played five games against ranked opponents this year. Only South Carolina was ranked in the top 15 when at the time of the game.

Auriemma’s team averages 82 points per game with a margin of 31 points per game. Freshman All-America Paige Bueckers averages a team-high 19 points per game.

A tournament win would end what feels like a championship drought for UConn, which hasn’t won the title since 2016, which was the fourth in a row at the time. Auriemma has 11 national titles with the Huskies.

For Stanford, the regular season success has been there but its still chasing a title that’s been elusive since 1992.

Baylor (+800) won the last NCAA Tournament in 2019 and is a two-seed in UConn’s bracket this year.

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The fourth No. 1 seed in NC State, but 20-2 squad is 6th on the oddsboard at +1600.

The odds get long in a hurry. Only one team with more than four losses has won the NCAA Tournament since Pat Summitt’s Tennessee Volunteers won the 1997 title with a 29-10 record. Texas A&M had five losses when it won the championship in 2011.

Among the teams further down the board is Iowa at +8000. The Hawkeyes feature the leading scorer in the nation. Caitlin Clark, a freshman, averages 26.7 points per game. Clark and Iowa could potentially meet UConn and fellow freshman Bueckers in the Sweet 16.

Odds to win Women’s NCAA Tournament

Team Odds
Stanford +150
UConn +250
Maryland +700
South Carolina +700
Baylor +800
NC State +1600
Arizona +2000
Texas AM +2500
Indiana +3300
UCLA +3300
Arkansas +5000
Oregon +5000
Tennessee +5000
Georgia +6600
Gonzaga +6600
Kentucky +6600
Iowa +8000
Iowa State +8000
Michigan +10000
Oregon State +10000
West Virginia +10000
Missouri State +15000
Northwestern +15000
Georgia Tech +20000
Michigan State +20000
Oklahoma State +20000
South Florida +20000
Syracuse +20000
Texas +20000
Virginia Tech +20000
Wake Forest +20000
Washington State +20000
Alabama +25000
Florida Gulf Coast +25000
Florida State +25000
Marquette +25000
North Carolina +25000
South Dakota +25000
South Dakota State +25000
UCF +25000
Beltmont +30000
Bradley +30000
Central Michigan +30000
Drexel +30000
Idaho State +30000
Lehigh +30000
Middle Tennessee +30000
Stephen F Austin +30000
Troy +30000
UC Davis +30000
VCU +30000
Wright State +30000
Wyoming +30000
High Point +50000
Jackson State +50000
Marist +50000
Mercer +50000
Mt St Mary’s +50000
North Carolia AT +50000
Stony Brook +50000
Utah Valley +50000

Odds via DraftKings as of March 17

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