Wolves vs. Tottenham Hotspur Sunday Premier League Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions (Dec. 27)

Wolves vs. Spurs Odds

Just about 10 days ago Tottenham Hotspur were at the top of the Premier League. Two losses later and Spurs are in seventh and could fall nine points back of league-leading Liverpool depending on this weekend’s results.

Spurs are favorites over Wolverhampton on Sunday, but as the odds show this trip to the Black Country won’t be a walk in the park for Jose Mourinho’s side.

Wolves have been inconsistent this season and find themselves in 11th, but Nuno Espirito Santo has guided his team to impressive wins over Chelsea and Arsenal, so an upset over Tottenham wouldn’t be a shock.

That said, Wolverhampton are really struggling to create chances with their main striker Raul Jimenez out for a significant period of time. They’ve leaned on their defense so far this year, but they’ll have their hands full with Harry Kane and Heung-min Son on Sunday.

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Wolves

After almost qualifying for the Europa League last season, Wolverhampton are going through a rough start to 2020/21. Wolves rank in the bottom half of the Premier League with a -4.94 expected goals differential and are only averaging 1.01 xG per match.

The lack of offensive flair can be partly blamed on losing Jimenez, but Wolves will need to find a way to create scoring chances without their talisman. Wolves are generating just 0.76 xG per 90 minutes in the four matches since Jimenez was hurt.

The silver lining is that Wolves have dealt with a pretty tough schedule over the past two months. Prior to their disappointing loss to Burnley last week, Wolverhampton played Leicester, Southampton, Arsenal, Liverpool, Aston Villa and Chelsea in succession.

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Tottenham

Despite their spot in the table, Spurs are creating very few high-quality scoring chances. They rank ninth in the league with a 1.52 xG/90 and are averaging just 0.71 xG per match over their last five matches.

Tottenham’s lack of scoring depth is starting to show as Kane and Son have combined for 80% of Tottenham’s goals this season. In fact, no other player on Spurs has more than one goal on the campaign.

Jose Mourinho does have his team playing solid defensively, though. Spurs are allowing jus 1.21 xG per match overall and they’ve improved that number to 0.89 xGA/90 over their last six fixtures.

Projections and Pick

Even though Wolverhampton’s underlying metrics have dipped, this team is too good to pass up at this price. With Spurs struggling to generate chances, I like the price on Wolves to get a result in what should be a low-event match between two teams who pride themselves on defense.

I actually make Wolves slight favorites in this match (though the injury to Jimenez could be skewing my numbers a little bit), so I think there is some value backing the home underdog on Sunday.

The Bet: Wolves +0.5 (-148)