Villanova vs. Creighton Odds & Pick: College Basketball Model Shows Betting Edge on Saturday

Porter Binks/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Moore

Villanova vs. Creighton Odds

Villanova Odds -3
Creighton Odds +3
Over/Under 144
Time 5 p.m. ET
TV FOX

The early evening college basketball slate brings with it one of the more highly anticipated matchups of the more than 100 tipping off Saturday.

No. 5 Villanova will be taking on No. 19 Creighton, and while the Wildcats are pretty widely accepted as the stronger side, Creighton’s home floor makes this game a whole lot more interesting. In fact, as of writing, Villanova is favored by just three points.

But is that spread accurate? Our model doesn’t think so. Below you’ll find the betting edge revealed by its projection.

Villanova vs. Creighton Model Pick


Note: Odds, data as of 9:30 a.m. ET.

Three points may not seem like a lot for a top-five team in the nation to be laying, but according to our model, it’s too much.

Our PRO Projection for this game comes in at essentially a pick’em, with Nova favored by a margin of just 0.3 points.

Compare that to the decimal-less three points that the market is giving Creighton bettors, and you’ve got a valuable spot with the home side.

PRO Projection edge: Creighton +3

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