UCLA vs. Michigan State Odds, Picks & Predictions: How Pros Are Betting Thursday’s First Four Matchup

Photo by Zach Bolinger/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Michigan State Spartans guard A.J. Hoggard (11) talks to head coach Tom Izzo

UCLA vs. Michigan State Odds

UCLA Odds +2
Michigan State Odds -2
Over/Under 135
Time  9:57 p.m. ET
TV TBS

UCLA vs. Michigan State is the type of matchup we expect to see in the NCAA Tournament. However, most fans and bettors think of it as a second weekend game as opposed to a First Four matchup.

Because UCLA vs. Michigan State is a contest of two very high-profile programs and is Thursday night’s final First Four matchup, the betting interest for this game should be huge. But as we document often in our PRO Report articles, the “size” of a game doesn’t necessarily translate to value.

With this in mind, here’s how the market’s sharpest college basketball bettors are getting down on UCLA vs. Michigan State.

UCLA vs. Michigan State Pick

Sharp Action

When it comes to tracking sharp betting action across the market, UCLA vs. Michigan State is about as textbook as it gets.

This First Four total originally opened at 137.5, but now sits at a consensus of 135 (click here for live NCAA Tournament odds) thanks to smart money.

Action Labs’ Bet Signals have tracked two specific waves of wiseguy action hitting the UCLA vs. Michigan State under, explaining the line movement we’ve seen so far.

Big Money

The public is split on the UCLA vs. Michigan State over/under, but big bettors certainly aren’t.

While 48% of bettors have gotten down on this under, those tickets represent 80% of the money wagered on the total.

This provides clear evidence that the combination of bets bets from sharp players is responsible for the UCLA vs. Michigan State over/under movement.

PRO Report Pick: Under 135

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