Phil Noble – Pool/Getty Images. Pictured: Edison Cavani.
Wolves vs. Manchester United Odds
| Wolves Odds | +143 |
| Manchester United Odds | +175 |
| Draw | +265 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-127 / +102) |
| Day | Time | Sunday | 11 a.m. ET |
| How To Watch | Golf Channel | Peacock Premium |
| Odds updated Saturday morning via DraftKings. | |
Manchester United look to finish their season strong when they take on Wolves at the Molineux Stadium.
It’s been a difficult season for Wolves after just missing out on a Europa League spot last season. They are currently in 12th place and cannot finish any higher than that spot. The biggest news to come out of their camp this week is their longtime manager Nuno Espírito Santo will be stepping down from his position at the club after Sunday’s match.
Wolves announce that Sunday's game vs. Man United will be Nuno Espirito Santo's final match as manager.
The fans will be back to bid Nuno farewell 🥺
What an incredible job he has done 👏 pic.twitter.com/GPNz5vEfyg
— ESPN FC (@ESPNFC) May 21, 2021
Manchester United will have nothing to play for in this match, as they’ve already secured second place in the Premier League table. They will without a doubt be looking ahead to their Europa League final on Wednesday with Villarreal, so I expect Ole Gunnar Solskjær to save some of his best players and give the second team a run on Sunday.
Wolves Are Limping To End
It’s been a real disappointing year for Wolves ever since Wolves lost star striker Raul Jimenez to injury for the rest of the season. Since his injury back on November 29th, Wolves have only been able to create 1.01 xG per match.
What’s even worse for Wolves is two of their other best attacking players Daniel Podence and Pedro Neto are both going to miss Sunday’s contest due to injury.
Wolves have also been going through an identity crisis, as they haven’t found a consistent formation to play out of. In their last match against Everton, they tried to play a 3-4-1-2, which they haven’t had much success out of, as they have a -0.63 xGD per 90 minutes, when playing out of that formation. We will see if Nuno Espírito Santo goes back to their favored 4-2-3-1 formation, which has been the most successful for them this season, as they have +1.08 xGD when playing out of that formation.
Manchester United’s Sight Focused On Europa League
Manchester United have been coasting over the past few weeks after already locking up second place in the Premier League table. This match won’t mean much to the Red Devils, and they will likely field a team of mostly second-team players with their eyes set on the Europa League final on Wednesday.
The strong suit of this Manchester United squad has been their defense. It’s been as solid as anybody over the second half of the season, as the Red Devils are allowing only 0.98 xG per match since the calendar turned to 2021. Their offense has done its job as well, as it’s averaging 1.60 xG per match over that same time span.
Edinson Cavani has been the man in form for Manchester United as of late, scoring nine goals in his last 10 appearances for the Red Devils. He now has the second-best expected goal rate in the Premier League at 0.64 xG per 90 minutes and is scoring stunning goals like this one against Fulham on Tuesday.
EDINSON CAVANI. MY WORD. 🤯 pic.twitter.com/OGf2zFHUlm
— NBC Sports Soccer (@NBCSportsSoccer) May 18, 2021
Betting Analysis & Pick
With Manchester United likely not taking this match very seriously and Wolves down most of their key attacking players. I think we are going to see a low-scoring affair.
Since I only have 2.31 goals projected for this match, I think there is some good value on Under 2.5 goals at +102 (DraftKings).
Pick: Under 2.5 goals (+102)
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