Panthers vs. Lightning Odds, Predictions: The Big NHL Model Projection Edge That Sharps Are Betting (Thursday, May 20)

Eliot J. Schechter/NHLI via Getty Images. Pictured: Ryan Lomberg of the Florida Panthers tangles David Savard of the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Panthers vs. Lightning Odds

Panthers Odds +122
Lightning Odds -141
Over/Under 5.5 (-120 / -103)
Time Thursday, 6:30 p.m. ET
TV USA

Yes, you read that headline correctly.

We don’t typically cover NHL PRO Reports that often, but as many sports fans know, the Stanley Cup Playoffs are arguably the most exciting postseason in all of sports.

And where there’s excitement from fans, there’s often a correlation to big betting handles.

Specifically, when it comes to the first-round series between the Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning, it has been all Tampa Bay through the first two games. The Lightning took the first two games on the road and return home looking for a commanding 3-0 lead against the Panthers.

So, what do the sharpest NHL bettors think about Thursday’s Game 3? Is the value with Tampa at home? Or is this the time to jump on Florida at a plus-money price?

Panthers vs. Lightning Betting Prediction

Sharp Action


According to Action Labs’ Bet Signals, professional bettors have already taken one swing at Florida and they’re certainly backing up their opinions with big bucks as well.

Big Money

Just 38% of bettors have backed the Panthers thus far, but those tickets account for a whopping 73% of the money wagered.

A bets-vs.-dollars discrepancy this large is a tell-tale sign that the largest-sized wagers are falling on road underdogs.

PRO Systems

So, why are pro bettors so bullish on the Panthers? Perhaps it’s because the current consensus price of Florida +122 is still undervalued.

The Action Network’s NHL PRO Projections set this moneyline at Panthers -104, translating to a B-graded, 5.4% edge when compared to the +122 price.

PRO Report Pick: Panthers +122

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