Harry How/Getty Images. Pictured: Johnny Johnson III
Oregon vs. Iowa State Odds
| Oregon Odds | +5.5 |
| Iowa State Odds | -5.5 |
| Over/Under | 58 |
| PRO Projection | ISU -6 | O/U 58.2 |
| Time | 4 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Sharp bettors have made their thoughts clear on today’s Fiesta Bowl, and our database is suggesting that history is on their side.
Let’s take a look at the PRO Report pick for Oregon vs. Iowa State.
Oregon vs. Iowa State Pick
Sharp Action
A move from 4.5 to 5.5 would generally suggest sharp action to be on the favorite. After all, sharps are the bettors most likely to have an impact on lines.
But in this case, most of the professional money didn’t really hit until the past 24 hours (according to Action Labs’ Bet Signals), when the line was up to +6, or even +6.5.
A total of eight Bet Signals have been triggered on Oregon, confirming the Ducks to be the sharper side.
Sharp Action edge: Oregon
Big Money
Providing further evidence of a professional backing of Oregon, its 30% backing has generated 56% of the actual money hitting this spread.
Of course, that’s not a huge majority, but it is a significant difference from the percentage of tickets, meaning Oregon is drawing much bigger bets — the ones more likely to be made by sharps.
Big Money edge: Oregon
PRO Systems
That 30% backing of Oregon is playing yet another role that bettors might be a bit more curious to know about. It fits the Ducks into one of our PRO Betting Systems, which focuses on contrarian sides in small-spread bowl games and has returned a whopping 68% win rate against the spread since 2005.
PRO Systems edge: Oregon