Emilee Chinn/Getty Images. Pictured: Cowboys QB Garrett Gilbert
PrizePicks is the first site I’ve ever seen take action on preseason player props. And while everyone likes to joke about how awful or boring NFL preseason games can be, what better way to make it more exciting than to sweat over player props involving fifth-stringers?
Operating under the daily fantasy umbrella — meaning they’re available in more states than betting is — PrizePicks offers a different spin on player props. Instead of betting on individual props, you parlay two or more props together, so I’ve identified the 14 (!) best options on the board based on my projections for the three preseason games on Friday:
- Bills-Lions (7 p.m. ET)
- Titans-Falcons (7 p.m. ET)
- Cowboys-Cardinals (10 p.m. ET)
Keep in mind that we are essentially guessing with these picks, so be sure to only risk an amount you’re comfortable losing. I’m personally treating this more as entertainment than some get-rich-quick scheme, though it doesn’t hurt that my Thursday night picks went 6-1 thanks to the overs we hit on Quez Watkins, Rhamondre Stevenson and Mac Jones.
Isn’t the preseason more fun when we get to root for players to break out like that?
Let’s dive in.
NFL Preseason Props
Passing Props
Logan Woodside (TEN) Over 98.5 Pass Yards
Ryan Tannehill is expected to rest on Friday night, so the Titans will give Logan Woodside a long look. Considering that Matt Barkley signed last week, I bet they give Woodside close to three quarters and let Barkley play mop-up duty in the fourth. Projection: 132.5
Matt Barkley (TEN) Under 93.5 Pass Yards
Woodside’s playing time will come at the expense of Barkley. Projection: 72.5
Chris Streveler (ARI) Over 48.5 Pass Yards
Streveler is more of a running QB, but this total is still too low for someone who could play one-third of the game. Projection: 65.5
A.J. McCarron (ATL) Over 92.5 Pass Yards
McCarron is expected to play the entire first half, which means he’ll throw to Kyle Pitts for the first couple of series. Projection: 104.5
Garrett Gilbert (DAL) Over 63.5 Pass Yards
Gilbert should see enough playing time to go over this total. Projection: 77.5
Rushing Props
Matt Breida (BUF) Over 21.5 Rush Yards
Zack Moss and Christian Wade are expected to miss Friday’s game, leaving the Bills very thin at RB. As such, Breida and Williams have a very high floor and should sail over their totals. Projection: 28.5
Antonio Williams (BUF) Over 19.5 Rush Yards
See: Matt Breida. Projection: 27.5
Brian Hill (TEN) Over 16.5 Rush Yards
It’s a revenge game for Hill and he should see 5-6 carries to sneak over this number. Projection: 19.5
Rico Dowdle (DAL) Under 32.5 Rush Yards
Dowdle ran for 43 yards in the Hall of Fame Game and should see 6-7 carries, but odds are he stays under this number. Projection: 28.5
Receiving Props
Jake Kumerow (BUF) Over 15.5 Rec Yards
Kumerow is having a great camp, so the Bills could give him 3-4 targets. Projection: 18.5
Isaiah McKenzie (BUF) Under 18.5 Rec Yards
The Bills already know what they have in McKenzie — he’s a low aDot player who could stay under this number even if he grabs two receptions. Projection: 13.5
Jacob Hollister (BUF) Under 12.5 Rec Yards
He could get eased back in after missing some time with a back injury. However, it’s more likely that he ends with 0-1 receptions than 2 or more. And even if he does catch a pass tonight, odds are it would net under 12.5 yards. Projection: 10.5
Geronimo Allison (DET) Under 22.5 Rec Yards
Allison could use some run after opting out of the 2020 season. The Lions should already know what they have in Allison, so I’m not expecting anything more than 2-3 targets. He could get two receptions and still go under this number. Projection: 15.5
Cameron Batson (TEN) Under 18.5 Rec Yards
Batson might not even play due to injury, but if he does suit up, it may only be for 1-2 series. I don’t see him going over this number. Projection: 11.5
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