Will Newton/Getty Images. Pictured: Chase Young
NFL Odds: Buccaneers vs. Washington
| Buccaneers Odds | -8 |
| Washington Odds | +8 |
| Over/Under | 44.5 |
| PRO Projection | TB -7.1 | O/U 45.5 |
| Time | Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
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As you might expect from a new-and-improved six-game Wild Card Weekend, not every matchup is expected to be a nail-biter. In fact, a pair of games feature spreads greater than a touchdown as of Saturday morning: the Bucs are 8-point favorites on the road in Washington this evening, and the Saints come in at -10 against Bears in New Orleans on Sunday.
The former has been a prime target for both sharp bettors and our NFL experts, and a PRO System suggests history is on the same side.
Our NFL PRO Report breaks down all the value indicators below.
Note: Odds, data as of 8 a.m. ET.
NFL Pick: Buccaneers vs. Washington
It’s the home underdog catching the attention of sharps (shocker) and our experts, as Washington is also the side revealing value from a historical standpoint.
Sharp Action
A comparison of opening and current lines doesn’t necessarily suggest any sort of sharp underdog action, so in this case, a further look into the full line history is needed.
As Tampa has been the more popular bet (59% of bets and 58% of money as of writing), the Bucs quickly saw their spread increase to -9 and even as far as -9.5 after opening as a 7.5-point favorite. But a Bet Signal triggered by Action Labs — an indicator of market movement caused specifically by sharp action — reveals that that’s exactly when the pros stepped in.
Since then, the line has made its way back to a consensus of eight points despite the only 41% backing of Washington.
Sharp Action edge: Washington
PRO Systems
And speaking of that 41% backing, it gives reason for bettors to take a liking to Washington tonight, historically speaking.
Paired with the spread and total for this game, the sub-50% support of Washington fits it into our “Bet Against Public Playoffs” PRO System, which has returned a 30-12 against-the-spread record since 2005.
PRO Systems edge: Washington
Top Experts
It’s not just the sharps riding the underdog, either. In fact, Washington is the most popular spread bet among our NFL experts as of writing, drawing four picks.
You can follow all our experts’ picks, and get notified as soon as they make them by downloading the free Action App.
Top Experts edge: Washington
