NFL Betting Model Predictions, Picks: Week 3 Loaded With Spread & Over/Under Edges

Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Jalen Hurts #1 of the Philadelphia Eagles

Contrary to popular belief, you don’t have to wait until Sunday to make your weekly NFL bets.

NFL odds are available all week, though many bettors do like to see how the previous week’s injuries shake out before putting their bankrolls at risk.

However, there is still plenty of value early in the week, especially for those able to get ahead of big line moves that typically occur closer to game day when betting limits are at their highest.

With this in mind, we post our NFL PRO Projections as early as possible to identify a slate’s biggest betting edges for those who are interested in getting ahead of the inevitable late-week market movement.

This doesn’t always mean there are a ton of edges to bet early, but when it comes to the full NFL Week 3 slate, it’s safe to say that there is plenty to like for value-minded bettors.

NFL Week 3 Betting Model Predictions

*Odds and projections as of Wednesday afternoon

Eagles vs. Cowboys Betting Prediction

  • Current spread: Eagles +4
  • Projected spread: Eagles +2.5

Week 3’s biggest NFL betting edge comes from its final game: Eagles vs. Cowboys on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Philly lost to San Francisco in Week 2 while Dallas topped the Los Angeles Chargers, but our model projects this to be a closer game than the market.

By snagging Eagles +4 right now, bettors can lock in a 5.7% edge compared to the projected spread of +2.5.

PRO Projections Pick: Eagles +4

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Packers vs. 49ers Betting Prediction

  • Current spread: Packers +3.5
  • Projected spread: Packers +1.5

Speaking of San Francisco, it appears that the 49ers are overvalued in Week 3 following their aforementioned victory over the Eagles last weekend.

Our NFL PRO Projections suggest this line should be inside of a field goal, which, combined with the fact that bettors can jump on Green Bay at +3.5, provides a very nice 5.3% edge for Sunday Night Football (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC).

PRO Projections Pick: Packers +3.5

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Falcons vs. Giants Betting Prediction

  • Current spread: Falcons +3
  • Projected spread: Falcons +1

Dumpster fire edges are just as good as those on primetime NFL matchups like Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football, and that’s exactly what we have here.

The Falcons and Giants are bad, but our model projects Atlanta to be less bad than the current spread implies.

Those willing to back the Falcons at the key number of +3 are rewarded with 4.1% edge when compared to our projection of Atlanta +1.

PRO Projections Pick: Falcons +3

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