Jamie Schwaberow/Getty Images. Pictured: Jamal Murray and Derrick Rose
NBA Odds: Pistons vs. Nuggets
| Pistons Odds | +7.5 |
| Nuggets Odds | -7.5 |
| Over/Under | 217.5 |
| PRO Projection | DEN -6.9 |
| Time | 9 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS-DET |
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One of the largest NBA spreads of the night (second only to Blazers-Bucks) is declining thanks to some steady sharp action.
Our PRO Report breaks down how the professional bettors have hit Pistons vs. Nuggets below.
NBA Sharp Pick: Pistons vs. Nuggets
Sharps and big bettors — who are likely one and the same — are taking Detroit in this matchup, and history suggests that’s the right side as well. As a result, Detroit has fallen from a 9-point to a 7.5-point underdog this afternoon.
Sharp Action
If oddsmakers’ goal was to split the betting population down the middle with this spread, they’ve succeeded. At least as of writing, 50% of spread tickets have hit each side.
But not all bets are created equal, and in this case, the ones that oddsmakers care more about have been landing more frequently on just one side — hence the line move toward Detroit.
Confirming that indication of sharp action, four Bet Signals from Action Labs have been triggered on the Pistons, revealing four instances of market-wide movement coming specifically as a result of sharp action.
Sharp Action edge: Pistons
Big Money
There’s a bit more reason for oddsmakers to care about those Pistons bets, too.
According to our public betting percentages, the Detroit half of the distribution has generated 68% of the money, meaning the bets coming on the Pistons have been much bigger — another sign of sharp action.
Big Money edge: Pistons
PRO Systems
History is on the Pistons side tonight as well.
As a road underdog coming off an ATS loss, Detroit finds itself in a spot that’s been undervalued in the past. In fact, our Road Dogs Off ATS Loss PRO System has returned a 55% win rate on a sample of more than 1,800 games since 2005.
PRO Systems edge: Pistons
