NBA Odds & Sharp Betting Pick for Warriors vs. Spurs: Pro Action Flips Tuesday’s Spread (Feb. 9)

Ronald Cortes/Getty Images. Pictured: Dejounte Murray #5 of the San Antonio Spurs and Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors.

NBA Odds: Warriors vs. Spurs

Warriors Odds -1
Spurs Odds +1
Over/Under 230
PRO Projection SAS -0.2
Time 8:30 p.m. ET
TV FS-SW
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If oddsmakers’ goal was simply to split the betting public in half on tonight’s Warriors-Spurs spread, they’ve essentially accomplished it (at least based on the betting percentages as of writing). But that hasn’t meant a lack of line movement.

In fact, the favored side has changed since this line opened as big bets from sharps have overwhelmingly poured onto just one side.

Note: Odds, data as of 1:30 p.m. ET.


NBA Sharp Betting Pick: Warriors vs. Spurs

Sharp Action

As mentioned, the overall bet count is pretty evenly split on this game. As of 1:30 p.m. ET, the Warriors hold just a 52-48% edge in terms of spread tickets.

Still, they’ve managed to jump the fence from +1.5 to -1 in this game thanks to their backing from sharp bettors.

Four Bet Signals from Action Labs have been triggered on Golden State, revealing four instances of market-wide movement caused specifically by sharp betting.

Sharp Action edge: Warriors

Big Money

Another reason for this move (which also provides more evidence of sharp action), the 52% of bettors on the Warriors have accounted for 87% of the actual money hitting this spread.

Of course, that’s a financial liability for which sportsbooks need to account, but perhaps more importantly, it reveals Golden State to be landing much bigger bets — the ones more likely to come from professionals.

Big Money edge: Warriors

The ultimate NBA betting cheat code

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Our NBA model’s biggest nightly edges

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