Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images. Pictured: New Orleans Pelicans star Zion Williamson.
NBA Odds: Thunder vs. Pelicans
| Thunder Odds | +8 |
| Pelicans Odds | -8 |
| Over/Under | 213.5 |
| Time | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS-OK |
Eight points separate the Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday according to the betting market, but is that number accurate?
Our PRO Report details the true spread as interpreted by our NBA model, as well as the play that sharp bettors are making — one that’s in agreement with our projection.
Note: Odds, data as of 2:30 p.m. ET.
NBA Pick: Thunder vs. Pelicans
Sharps and big bettors — who are likely one and the same — are taking the underdog tonight, and our model agrees that this spread is a bit too high.
Sharp Action
While the comparison between opening and current lines may not suggest a whole lot of action from sharp bettors, in this case that comparison is a bit misleading.
Since the spread reached -8.5, Action Labs has triggered three Bet Signals on the Thunder, revealing three separate separate instances of market-wide responses to sharp action.
Sharp Action edge: Thunder
Big Money
Also revealing OKC to be the sharp side, its 41% backing (as of writing) has generated 70% of the money landing on this spread. That means bigger bets, which are more likely to come from professional bettors, are taking the underdog.
Sharp Action edge: Thunder
Model Projection
For sharps to be attracted to the Thunder tonight, they must believe the spread is too high. And our model agrees.
It projects the Thunder at +6.5, giving some value to the currently offered 8-point spread.
Sharp Action edge: Thunder