Andrew D. Bernstein/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Signage at Phoenix Suns Arena before Game 1 of the 2021 NBA Finals.
Bucks vs. Suns Series Odds
Odds as of Tuesday at 9 p.m. ET and via BetMGM
| Suns | Bucks | |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | -185 | +150 |
| Win in 4 | +800 | +2500 |
| Win in 5 | +350 | +1100 |
| Win in 6 | +450 | +450 |
| Win in 7 | +350 | +650 |
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Series Picks | MVP Odds | MVP Picks | Finals Schedule
The Phoenix Suns opened as -160 favorites before Game 1 of the NBA Finals and those odds went up to -200 when Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo was expected to miss time in the championship series.
While the odds shifted a bit once Antetokounmpo was cleared to play in the first game of the series, the Suns still had better than 61% implied odds to win the series outright and grab the franchise’s first title.
Below we are tracking how odds are moving from throughout the series.
Staff Series Bets
Matt Moore: Suns to win 4-2 or 4-3 (+150 BetMGM)
I don’t like the value at -190 to win the series which is where it quickly moved to at most books.The implied probabilities put that too high. But I like the Suns to win the series, and I think the series will be close based on how good the Bucks are.
Brandon Anderson: Suns -1.5 Games (+120 BetMGM)
Phoenix’s advantage at the start of the series is very strong. The Suns have a significant rest advantage — five days off vs. just two, plus a far less grueling path to this stage with a second round sweep instead of a seven-game rock fight like the Bucks.
Joe Dellera: Bucks Win Series After Trailing (+500 BetMGM)
Even if the Bucks pull off an upset in Game 1, this gives you multiple bites at the apple at better odds. I’ve seen most of the Game 1 Suns win/Bucks win the Series props at roughly +350, and this bet allows the Bucks to fall behind at any point in the series and still cash.
Kenny Ducey: Bucks Moneyline (+165 DraftKings)
I think this is going to be a back and forth series, but the Lakers’ duo of James and Davis find ways to win. I like taking this in six games because it also gives me potential outs as the series goes longer to hedge or work out other ways to maximize the value of my bet.
Austin Wang: Suns Win Game 1 and Series (-110 BetMGM)
I think the Suns will win the first game at home and make this -110 series price look like a real bargain in a few days. Here is an opportunity to pounce on a cheap Suns line early and even if you ultimately like the Bucks to win the series, my recommendation is to take advantage of this line now and get the Bucks at higher odds down the line.
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NBA Finals MVP Odds
Odds as of Tuesday 9 p.m. ET and via BetMGM
| Player | Finals MVP Odds |
|---|---|
| Chris Paul | +150 |
| Devin Booker | +250 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | +450 |
| Khris Middleton | +500 |
| Jrue Holiday | +1100 |
| Deandre Ayton | +2000 |
| Brook Lopez | +6600 |
| Cameron Payne | +10000 |
| PJ Tucker | +10000 |
| Mikal Bridges | +15000 |
| Jae Crowder | +15000 |
| Dario Saric | +15000 |
| Jevon Carter | +15000 |
| Torrey Craig | +15000 |
| Cameron Johnson | +15000 |
| Jeff Teague | +20000 |
| Bryn Forbes | +20000 |
| Pat Connaughton | +20000 |
| Bobby Portis | +20000 |
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Staff Finals MVP Bets
Matt Moore: Chris Paul (+160 — BetRivers)
He’s the favorite for a reason. The voters for MVP are a small panel of experienced writers and broadcasters. Some will be dedicated analysts, but most will be writers with narrative backgrounds. If all things were equal, Devin Booker likely has the better chances — but they are not equal.
Raheem Palmer: Chris Paul (+160 — BetRivers)
Who has a better narrative than Chris Paul? He is the team’s best player and if the Suns win the NBA title, Devin Booker’s scoring impact can’t overcome the totality of what Paul brings to the table.
Austin Wang: Devin Booker (+250 — BetMGM)
Given the trend of awful injuries in this postseason, I simply cannot place that much confidence in him winning the award. The better option is Booker — he has been a break-out star this postseason and has a higher ceiling — I think +250 is exceptional value for him to win the award.
Joe Dellera: Khris Middleton (+650 — FanDuel)
Middleton has averaged 23.8 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 6.0 assists this season in 10 games without Antetokounmpo this season. Those numbers spiked in Games 5 and 6 against the Atlanta Hawks where he averaged 29 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 7.5 assists in 43 minutes. These are strong numbers and he’s clearly capable of leading this Bucks team.
Kenny Ducey: Jrue Holiday (+1100 — BetMGM)
If Davis maintains his play offensively and defensively (and maybe rebounds a little) I think he has a great chance to become the first Lakers’ big man since Shaquille O’Neal to take home the Finals MVP.
Brandon Anderson: Jae Crowder (+15000 — BetMGM)
If Davis maintains his play offensively and defensively (and maybe rebounds a little) I think he has a great chance to become the first Lakers’ big man since Shaquille O’Neal to take home the Finals MVP.
Suns vs. Bucks NBA Finals Schedule
- Game 1: Tuesday, July 6 | 9 p.m. ET
- Game 2: Thursday, July 8 | 9 p.m. ET
- Game 3: Sunday, July 11 | 8 p.m. ET
- Game 4: Wednesday, July 14 | 9 p.m. ET
- Game 5: Saturday, July 17 | 9 p.m. ET (If Nec.)
- Game 6: Tuesday, July 20 | 9 p.m. ET (If Nec.)
- Game 7: Thursday, July 22 | 9 p.m. ET (If Nec.)