Mississippi vs. Alabama Betting Model Prediction: The Early Odds Movement to Buy Back

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Jameson Williams, center, of the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Mississippi vs. Alabama Odds

Mississippi Odds +14.5
Alabama Odds -14.5
Over/Under 79.5
Date Saturday, Oct. 2
Time 3:30 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

Saturday’s Ole Miss vs. Alabama college football showdown has been an early hammer for many sharp bettors.

As soon as Circa Sports in Las Vegas opened this spread, the sportsbook quickly took more than 10 limit bets on the Rebels, forcing it to adjust Ole Miss down from +20 to the current line of +15.

But wiseguys didn’t stop there.

According to Action Labs’ Bet Signals data, smart money has also pounded the Ole Miss vs. Alabama total, driving this price up from 76.5 to 79.5, and even to 80 at some shops.

These are both very notable line moves for such a high-profile matchup, but has this early-week odds movement gone to far?

According to our College Football PRO Projections, one of these adjustments is just right, while the other has simply gone too far and is now ready for buyback.

Here’s the Mississippi vs. Alabama wager our model projects as a very reasonable betting edge for Saturday’ matchup

Ole Miss vs. Alabama Betting Model Prediction


The Action Network’s college football betting model projects the Ole Miss vs. Alabama spread at Crimson Tide -14.4, right one the current consensus line of -14.5. On the other hand, this total has moved so far that there’s now value on the under.

We project this number at 75.1, a 2.5% edge based on the widely-available 79.5.

In fact, bettors can increase this edge even further by visiting our College Football Live Odds Page and picking off one of the shops, like DraftKings Sportsbook, hanging a full 80 points.

PRO Projections Pick: Ole Miss-Alabama Under 80

_PromoID=[4287, 4451]

Leave a Reply