Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Ahman Ross
Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic Odds
| Memphis Odds | -8.5 |
| FAU Odds | +8.5 |
| Over/Under | 53 |
| Time | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Wednesday brings with it another pair of college bowl games, and our PRO Report has been picking up betting value in just about every which way on the two-game slate.
Sharp bettors and our model’s projections have already shown value on this afternoon’s New Orleans Bowl, and it looks as though the sharps are also taking a side in tonight’s Montgomery Bowl. And in this case, they’re backed by history in the form of a PRO Betting System match.
Let’s take a look.
Note: Odds, data as of 12 p.m. ET Wednesday.
Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic Pick
After opening on the key number of 10, this spread has come down to a mix of 8.5s and 9s across the market, and it appears that sharp action on FAU has been the driving force.
Sharp Action
Only 39% of bettors have taken the underdog in this matchup, so any spread shrinkage is likely a sign of sharp bettors among that minority.
In this case, that sign has been confirmed by three Sports Insights Bet Signals — triggered by market-wide responses to sharp action — on Florida Atlantic at lines ranging from +10.5 to +9.
It is worth noting that the line has ticked back up from its low point of 7.5, suggesting some sharp buyback on Memphis. However, the overall move in the direction of a side as unpopular as FAU is enough to make this display of professional action clear.
Sharp Action edge: Florida Atlantic
Big Money
Providing even more clarity as to this game’s sharp side, Florida Atlantic’s 39% backing has impressively generated 86% of the money landing on this spread. Of course, that’s a monetary liability that sportsbooks need to consider, but perhaps more importantly, it reveals that the Owls are landing much bigger bets — the ones more likely to be made by sharps.
Big Money edge: Florida Atlantic
PRO Systems
And finally, as an unpopular side in a bowl game, Florida Atlantic fits into our “Bowl Season Betting Against” PRO System, which has returned a 73-48-1 record against the spread since 2005.
PRO Systems edge: Florida Atlantic