Loyola Chicago vs. Oregon State Projected Odds: Our Spread, Total for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Joe Robbins/NCAA Photos via Getty Images. Pictured: Cameron Krutwig.

#8 Loyola Chicago vs. #12 Oregon St. Odds

Projected Spread Loyola Chicago -9
Projected Total 121.59
Projected ML Loyola Chicago -382
Time TBA
TV TBA
Projected odds based on our initial PRO Projections. Odds will be added once they’re released.
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How Houston & Oregon St. Match Up

Loyola Chicago vs. Oregon St.
342 Tempo 315
9 eFG% 232
154 TO% 82
230 OR% 110
193 FTR 110
37 DeFG% 190
48 DTO% 186
3 DR% 234
8 DFTR 303
All stats via KenPom.

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What To Know About Loyola Chicago

Loyola’s defensive success is predicated on its “No Middle” philosophy and its tireless on-ball pressure in the half-court. The results are staggering, and it starts with Lucas Williamson. The MVC Defensive Player of the Year is one of the best lockdown defenders you’ll ever see, and he excels at taking away an opponent’s top scoring option.

Collectively, Loyola’s defense is elite in nearly every metric. The Ramblers don’t give up easy looks, rebound the ball at a high level and do it all without fouling, so it’s no surprise they rank No. 3 in Adjusted Deficiency, per KenPom.

They play at a very slow place and don’t give an inch on the defensive end of the floor. A transition-reliant team does not want to run into Loyola. The offense runs through crafty big man Cameron Krutwig in the post and is not easy to prepare for.

This is a bona-fide top-20 (potentially top-10) team in the nation with Final Four experience and an excellent coach. — Mike Calabrese

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What To Know About Oregon St.

The Beavers entered the Pac-12 Tournament as a 5-seed, winning three straight to become conference champions despite having some of the longest odds to do so.

The Beavers beat UCLA, Oregon and Colorado to bring their combined Quadrant 1 and Quadrant 2 record to 7-9. Oregon State shot 29-of-66 from beyond the arc in the Pac-12 Tournament, a stark contrast from 33% in conference play for a rank of 10th in conference. This will be coach Wayne Tinkle’s second trip to the dance with Oregon State since taking over in 2015, as the coach had three other trips with Montana.

Oregon State plays a unique shifting zone, giving opponents multiple looks and potential problems. One area the Beavers struggle is defensive free-throw rate with a national rank of 303rd. The Beavers do defend the perimeter with a defensive 3-point percentage that ranks 58th nationally, but a lack of presence in the paint could be problematic versus opponents that are dominant on the block.

Still, this is a team with a decent offensive free-throw rate and has a top-40 free-throw shooting percentage. The Beavers are getting hot offensively during the right time of year. — Collin Wilson

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