Gonzaga vs. BYU Odds

Gonzaga looks to remain undefeated on Monday night when they travel to Provo to take on BYU

Gonzaga has been on cruise control during WCC play, without anybody giving them a real scare yet. Monday’s matchup against BYU will likely be their toughest test during conference play.

BYU has been the second-best team in the WCC this season, with only two losses to Gonzaga and Pepperdine on the road. In fact, the Cougars have won six of their last seven games including a 105-60 blowout of Portland over the weekend.

BYU desperately struggled on offense in the last meeting, so it’ll be interesting to see if they are able to put up a better showing at home.

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When Gonzaga has the ball

The Bulldogs offense has been impossible to stop this season because they have elite scorers at all five positions on the floor. Four of their five staters are averaging double figures on the season and both forwards Drew Timme and Corey Kispert are on the cusp of averaging 20 points a piece.

Gonzaga’s offense is solid in pretty much every statistical category, which makes them so hard to defend. The Bulldogs are averaging 1.21 point per possession during WCC play and have only been held under 80 points twice.

Gonzaga dominates their opponents inside as they have the best two point field goal percentage in the country and average 73.6% on shot attempts at the rim, per Hoop-Math. Gonzaga shot 56% from inside in the first meeting with BYU, so the Cougars will need to defend much better in the pain if they want to have any shot at covering.

BYU’s defense is built to defend inside, allowing only 43.6% from two point range during conference play. The Cougars are holding their opponents to only 0.97 points per possession in WCC play, but as they discovered in the first matchup, Gonzaga is a different animal.

BYU honestly didn’t do a terrible job defending in the first meeting, holding Gonzaga to 1.18 points per possession, but they’ll need to put up a better defensive performance if they want to cover the 11.5 point spread.

When BYU has the ball

BYU plays the eighth fastest tempo in the country, which has allowed their dribble handoff offense to flourish. The Cougars are the second best offense in the WCC behind Gonzaga, averaging a whopping 1.13 points per possession.

BYU is shooting the ball tremendously from all over the floor, averaging over 35% from three and almost 56% from two point range. However, in the first matchup against Gonzaga, the Cougars struggled to get anything going offensively, as they averaged only 0.95 points per possession.

Really the only way to beat this Gonzaga team is to hit an absurd amount of 3-pointers. The Bulldogs are allowing their opponents to shoot 34.7% from 3-point range during WCC play. BYU was just 4-of-16 from deep in their first meeting, so they’ll need to hit way more triples, because trying to score inside against Gonzaga is a fools errand.

The Bulldogs are allowing only 41% from two point range during conference play and have allowed their opponents to shoot only 54.6% on attempts at the rim, per Hoop-Math.  So, the Cougars need to make shooting a ton of threes a priority tonight if they are going to hang with Gonzaga.

Betting Analysis & Pick

The way these two offenses have been playing during conference play, I think we are going to see a high scoring affair. Both Gonzaga and BYU are top ten in adjusted tempo, per KenPom, so this game is likely to turn into a track meet.

Therefore, I think there is some value in backing over 155 points (PointsBet) in this matchup.

Pick: Over 155 points or better

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