Mark LoMoglio/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: MJ Walker.
#4 Florida St. vs. #13 UNC Greensboro Odds
| Projected Spread | Florida St. -12.2 | |
| Projected Total | 144.01 | |
| Projected ML | Florida St. -633 | |
| Time | TBA | |
| TV | TBA | |
| Projected odds based on our initial PRO Projections. Odds will be added once they’re released. | ||
How Florida St. & UNC Greensboro Match Up
| Florida St. | vs. | UNC Greensboro |
| 84 | Tempo | 174 |
| 32 | eFG% | 255 |
| 241 | TO% | 18 |
| 11 | OR% | 44 |
| 148 | FTR | 332 |
| 34 | DeFG% | 85 |
| 128 | DTO% | 58 |
| 291 | DR% | 92 |
| 283 | DFTR | 284 |
| All stats via KenPom. | ||
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What To Know About Florida St.
Leonard Hamilton had Elite Eight and Sweet 16 teams in the two seasons prior to last year, and his ACC-winning squad in 2019-20 was robbed of a chance for a deep run in March by COVID-19. They’re back now and appear just as poised.
The Noles thrive offensively thanks to a top-20 3-point percentage that has them ranked 20th in adjusted offensive efficiency, according to KenPom, while playing at the 79th-ranked pace in the country. Florida State’s defensive is also borderline top-20, allowing opponents to shoot just 40% from the field.
Boasting one of the longest and most athletic defensive units in the country, they can switch everything, which really gives them a ton of flexibility that can stump teams that try to create mismatches on offense. They also use a press at one of the highest rates in the country, which could be problematic for teams lacking ball handlers. (And they have almost unlimited depth that can wear down teams in the second half.)
On offense, they are also unbelievably versatile and can exploit teams that can’t guard 1-5. Freshman Scottie Barnes is the only one of the Noles’ top-four scorers who wasn’t with the team last season, and his addition has only enhanced an already fantastic roster.
Turnovers can be a bit of an issue on offense, but this team has enough length and athleticism to beat any team in the country when they are on, including Gonzaga, who they have met in the Sweet 16 in each of the past two tournaments. FSU took the first and Gonzaga got revenge in 2019. Maybe we get Round 3 this year? — Matt Trebby
What To Know About UNC Greensboro
Meet the Millers: Wes Miller is one of the hottest names in coaching, and senior point guard Isaiah Miller is one of the fiercest competitors in the country.
That said, the Spartans had a very fortunate path to a conference title. They are known for their aggressive, pressing style on defense, which forces opponents into turnovers at a top-20 rate nationally. The half-court offense can go through extreme droughts as they really struggle to shoot the ball from deep and from the line.
The Spartans want to make their living on the offensive glass and by forcing opponents into mistakes. — Stuckey