Photo by Eric Espada/Getty Images. Pictured: Quarterback Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons
Falcons vs. Giants Odds
| Falcons Odds | +3 |
| Giants Odds | -3 |
| Over/Under | 47.5 |
| Date | Sunday, Sept. 26 |
| Time | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
*Odds as of Saturday afternoon
You can make the point that just like bad pizza, there really aren’t any bad NFL games.
But, you can also make the point that if bad NFL matchups do exist, Week 3’s Falcons vs. Giants game might top that list.
Both teams are winless through two weeks of the young NFL season, meaning Sunday’s game is as close to a must-win as you can get in September.
New York is currently a 3-point home favorite over Atlanta per the latest NFL odds, suggesting that the betting market essentially sees these teams as equal before adjusting for home-field advantage.
On the other hand, our NFL betting model indicates that the latest Falcons vs. Giants spread is considerably off where it should be.
In fact, the edge is so obvious that professionals have been betting it all week.
Let’s examine the Falcons vs. Giants betting model edge that’s attracting smart money from the market’s sharpest bettors.
Falcons vs. Giants Betting Pick
Atlanta opened as a 3-point underdog against New York and a couple of shops, like BetMGM, have already been forced to move off the key number to +2.5.
Even the books that are still hanging onto +3 have up-charged the spread in this game by increasing the vig on Atlanta and the points — and we can thank sharps for this.
In addition, the Falcons are a match for The Action Network’s Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season PRO System which has produced a gaudy 228-145-10 (61%) against-the-spread win rate since 2004.
And finally, our NFL betting model projects the Falcons vs. Giants spread at Atlanta +1, offering a juicy 5.2% edge per The Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections.
PRO Report Pick: Falcons +3
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