Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Jacoby Brissett #14 of the Miami Dolphins
Dolphins vs. Raiders Odds
| Dolphins Odds | +4 |
| Raiders Odds | -4 |
| Over/Under | 44 |
| Date | Sunday, Sept. 26 |
| Time | 4:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
*Odds as of Saturday afternoon
Real-time NFL betting model projections can be valuable for a handful of reasons.
First, updated projections can quickly help bettors run through every game on a given slate to pinpoint the biggest available edges.
In addition, a live betting model can also instantly update its projected odds based on the latest breaking news, allowing bettors to jump on a slowly-reacting market or to simply lock in value first, before additional bettors pile on.
This is exactly what we’re seeing with Sunday’s Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Week 3 matchup.
There was some optimism early in the week Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa suffered “only” bruised ribs, meaning he may be able to give it a go on Sunday.
That all changed when it was revealed Tagovailoa did in fact fracture his ribs, sidelining him for a few weeks at the very least.
With Jacoby Brissett now getting the start for Miami, our betting model updated with new projected Dolphins vs. Raiders odds, including a bettable edge for Sunday’s game.
Dolphins vs. Raiders Betting Model Prediction
No matter what you believe the difference from Tagovailoa to Brissett to be, professional bettors (or those with the resources and respect to move NFL odds) see it as minimal, at best.
After peaking at Miami +5 earlier this week, this number is down to a consensus of +4, with many shops already down to +3.5.
Still, if you’re late to the Fins party this weekend there’s enough to warrant a Dolphins wager at +4.
Our NFL PRO Projections set this spread at Miami +3.2, translating to a 1.4% edge assuming you don’t settle for Dolphins +3.5 and shop the market to find +4, like what’s currently available at BetMGM.
PRO Report Pick: Dolphins +4
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