Photo by Dan Sanger/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Wisconsin Badgers fullback John Chenal
The biggest college football games on a given Saturday tend to be later in the day, whether it’s a 3:30 p.m. ET matchup or a primetime game.
However, in Week 4 we get arguably the most high-profile, and potentially the most heavily-bet, game of the day right out of the gates at 12 pm. ET: Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin.
There’s no doubt about it — this game will drive a massive betting handle on Saturday and it’s not just recreational bettors interested in this matchup.
Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin has already attracted plenty of attention from professional bettors, evidenced by the plethora of value indicators illuminated in our College Football PRO Report.
But as usual, it’s not just one game pegging our PRO betting tools on a Saturday college football.
Below are the three games that have set themselves apart as the top value’s for college football Week 4, starting with the biggest of them all, Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin.
College Football Week 4 Betting Predictions
*Odds and betting data as of Friday afternoon
Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin Betting Prediction
12 p.m. ET | FOX
Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin is about as clear as it gets regarding a sharps vs. squares college football showdown.
Seventy percent of spread bets are taking the points with Notre Dame, yet the line has moved from Wisconsin -5 up to -6.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
If the line movement isn’t enough by itself, Action Labs’ Bet Signals are reporting five separate instances of smart money crashing down on the Badgers, leaving no doubt as to the sharp side of this matchup.
In fact, the Badgers are getting such a small percentage of the overall spread betting action that it qualifies for our Bet Against Public With Line Move PRO System, which has cashed for bettors at a 58% Against The Spread (ATS) rate since the start of the 2005 season.
PRO Report Pick: Wisconsin -6.5
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Ohio vs. Northwestern Betting Prediction
12 p.m. | BTN
Big bettors are also taking a position on Ohio for its Saturday afternoon matchup with Northwestern.
The Bobcats have landed 87% of the money on just 52% of the tickets, a dead giveaway that the largest wagers are coming in on the road underdogs.
It’s important to note that sharps have shown interest in Ohio at +15 and +14.5, but should that continue, don’t be surprised to see the faucet of smart money flowing on the Bobcats shut off if books are forced to adjust to +14.
PRO Report Pick: Ohio +14.5
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Florida Atlanta vs. Air Force Betting Prediction
8 p.m. ET | Fox Sports 2
Despite already moving from +6 to +4 thanks to the wiseguys, our College Football PRO Projections are still highlighting Florida Atlantic as the top spread edge of Week 4.
Our model projects this game essentially be a pick’em (Florida Atlantic -0.1 to be exact), resulting in an 11.5% edge when compared to the current price of Owls +4.
By jumping aboard now you won’t be getting the same line as the pros, but our projections suggest there’s still reason to like Florida Atlantic at this price.
PRO Report Pick: Florida Atlantic +4
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