Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Virginia wide receiver Billy Kemp IV
Well hello four-game college football Friday night slate!
While these games won’t be as heavily bet as Thursday Night Football or the weekend’s college football and NFL matchups, bettors will still jump at the chance for a little Friday night action.
And since I know most of you have vibrant social lives with little time to waste, let’s just right into the two smartest college football bets across these four matchups.
Friday’s College Football Betting Predictions
*Odds as of Thursday night
Middle Tennessee State vs. Charlotte Betting Prediction
6:30 p.m. ET | CBS Sports
This matchup has both a historically-profitable betting system AND a betting model edge aligned on the same side.
To start, Middle Tennessee State is a match for The Action Network’s Scoring Streak Fade PRO Betting System, which has produced a 287-190-5 (60%) against-the-spread (ATS) record since the start of the 2005 season.
Additionally, our college football betting model projects this spread at Blue Raiders +0.9, translating to a 5% edge and earning a B grade from our PRO Projections feature.
PRO Report Pick: Middle Tennessee State +3
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Wake Forest vs. Virginia Betting Prediction
7 p.m. ET | ESPN2
Speaking of edges, the Wake Forest vs. Virginia under is an even better value than the game above.
Our model pegs this total at 64.7, a 5.2% B-graded edge when compared to the consensus total of 68.5 (click here for live college football odds).
In addition, our college football public betting data is showing a vast bets-vs-dollars discrepancy on this total — 93% of the money has landed on the under on just 35% of the tickets, so don’t be surprised if oddsmakers are forced to adjust this number down between now and Friday night’s kickoff.
PRO Report Pick: Under 68.5
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