Patrick Smith/Getty Images. Pictured: Quarterback Tom Brady of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Buccaneers vs. Packers Odds
| Buccaneers Odds | +3.5 |
| Packers Odds | -3.5 |
| Over/Under | 52 |
| PRO Projections | Packers -2.6 | O/U: 54.3 |
| Time | Channel | 3:05 p.m. ET | FOX |
I highlighted the enticing Buccaneers vs. Packers over/under value for Sunday’s NFC Championship Game earlier this week, an A-graded, 9.6% edge at the time, according to our NFL PRO Projections.
Like any good model, this Buccaneers vs. Packers line has drifted toward our projection throughout the week, but the movement has not been enough to erase the value of this wager altogether.
In fact, our model is highlighting spread and over/under edges bettors can take advantage of ahead of this afternoon’s NFC Championship Game.
Let’s take a look.
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Buccaneers vs. Packers Over/Under Pick
The Buccaneers vs. Packers over/under has ticked up to 52 (click here for the latest NFL conference championship game odds), but even with the movement still translates to a 3.2% edge when compared to our projected total of 54.3.
According to Football Outsiders’ Offensive DVOA, Green Bay has the NFL’s top offense this season while Tampa Bay checks in third, so these are certainly two teams capable of putting points on the board.
And while Lambeau Field in January is synonymous with poor weather, the current forecast isn’t all that intimidating, so don’t be surprised to see Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady lighting it up this afternoon.
PRO Projections Pick: Over 52
Buccaneers vs. Packers Spread Pick
The Buccaneers vs. Packers over/under has shortened with odds movement throughout the week, but the spread value has largely remained constant.
Our PRO Projections set this spread at Bucs +2.6 which immediately shows promise considering the consensus number of +3.5 is through the key number of 3, the most important line in NFL betting.
With a 3.5% edge, Tampa Bay +3.5 is worth considering as well.
PRO Projections Pick: Bucs +3.5