Darren Eagles/Getty Images for RBC. Pictured: The Sound of Metal star Riz Ahmed and director Darius Marder.
Best Film Editing Odds
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Sound of Metal | -118 | 54.1% |
| The Trial of the Chicago 7 | -110 | 42.4% |
| Nomadland | +650 | 13.3% |
| The Father | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Promising Young Woman | +4000 | 2.4% |
Odds as of April 23 and via DraftKings.
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Best Film Editing Predictions
Sound of Metal -118
Collin Whitchurch: While Best Actress is the closest race based on the implied odds, Best Film Editing is next in line. And it’s easy to see why.
The American Cinema Editors Eddie Awards, like the Golden Globes, split their top prize between drama and comedy/musical. And between the two, the organization has awarded the film that ultimately won Best Editing at the Academy Awards 13 times in the last 20 years. By comparison, the BAFTAs have awarded the same film just nine times, however, one of those was last year when Ford v Ferrari beat out Parasite. The prior two years saw Bohemian Rhapsody (ACE) beat Vice (BAFTA) and Dunkirk (ACE) beat Baby Driver (BAFTA).
Sound of Metal is a logical favorite, especially when you consider the intricate editing process that goes along with editing a film about musical performances. In recent years, the Academy has awarded Bohemian Rhapsody and Whiplash, so there’s a bit of a theme there.
Still, the fact that the ACE Awards are a stronger indicator than the BAFTAs makes Sound of Metal a deserved favorite. I got this at plus money a few weeks ago (+125), but wouldn’t bet it worse than -110, making this (just barely) a no-play for me.