Adam Glanzman/Getty Images. Pictured: Quarterback Ryan Tannehill of the Tennessee Titans.
The AFC South playoff scenarios may have not the same moving parts as the NFC East, but the division crown is very much up for grabs.
The simple AFC South title situation: The Titans win the division with a win over the Texans or a Colts loss to the Jags. If Tennessee loses, it just needs a loss from Baltimore or Miami to get a wild card spot.
If the Titans lose and the Colts win, Indy wins the division.
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But the Colts, despite going 11-5 if they beat Jacksonville on Sunday, are not guaranteed a spot.
Indianapolis needs a loss or tie from Baltimore, Miami or Cleveland, in addition to beating Jacksonville. Baltimore is a huge favorite over Cincinnati; Cleveland is a big favorite over the Steelers; and, Miami is an underdog at Buffalo.
Here are the full probabilities and playoff scenarios for the Titans and Colts.
Titans Playoff Scenarios
| Our Model’s Projection | |
| To make playoffs | 81% |
The Titans are not only playing for a playoff spot, but also the AFC South crown. The Titans win the division with a win over the Texans or a Colts loss to the Jaguars.
If not as the division champion, Tennessee still gets a wild card spot with a loss from either Baltimore or Miami.
| Week 17 Odds | Bet Now At |
| Titans -7.5 at Texans |
The Titans opened as 7-point favorites before moving to 7.5. The Texans say they’ll start Deshaun Watson if he’s cleared, but starting tackle Laremy Tunsil will miss the game.
Tennessee will try to wash out whatever happened in the snow last Sunday night in a 40-14 loss to the Packers.
| » More On the Titans « |
Colts Playoff Scenarios
| Our Model’s Projection | |
| To make playoffs | 71% |
Is an 11-win team really going to be left out of the playoffs? It’s possible.
The Colts do not control their own destiny. They have to win, but then they’ll be scoreboard watching.
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Indianapolis needs a loss or tie from Baltimore, Miami or Cleveland, in addition to beating Jacksonville. If Baltimore beats Cincinnati, Miami beats Buffalo and Cleveland beats Pittsburgh, Indianapolis is out.
| Week 17 Odds | Bet Now At |
| Colts -14.5 vs. Jaguars |
James Robinson is out for the Jaguars and Mike Glennon remains in at quarterback in the final game of the pre-Trevor Lawrence Era in Jacksonville.
As of Wednesday, 68% of bets and 96% of the money was on the Colts according to our NFL PRO Report.
| » More on the Colts « |