2021 Oscar Nominations Odds: Best Picture, Actor, Actress & More Nominee Predictions

Xinhua/Li Rui via Getty Images. Pictured: The Oscar statue outside of the Dolby Theatre in 2020.

The 2021 Academy Awards, which usually take place in February, were delayed because of the COVID-19 pandemic. As such, nominations for the 93rd iteration of Hollywood’s Biggest Night come out on Monday, March 15, with the awards show set to take place on April 25 at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood.

Below are betting odds for the Academy Awards as of March 14 and via European sportsbook Betfair. We’ll update this post with the official nominees and American betting odds once they’re available.


New to betting? Favorites have a minus (-) sign and the number indicates the money you would need to risk to win $100, whereas underdogs have a plus (+) sign while that number indicates the money you would win for every $100 bet.

Example: The Trial of the Chicago 7 is a +250 underdog for Best Picture, which means you would net a $250 profit on a $100 bet if it wins. Learn more here.


Best Picture

Nominee Odds
Nomadland -244
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +250
Minari +900
Mank +1400
Promising Young Woman +1400
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom +2000
Judas and the Black Messiah +2000
One Night in Miami +3300
The Sound of Metal +4000

Best Director

Nominee Odds
Chloe Zhao (Nomadland) -244
David Fincher (Mank) +250
Lee Isaac Chung (Minari) +900
Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7) +1400
Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman) +1400
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Best Actor

Nominee Odds
Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) OFF
Anthony Hopkins (The Father) +800
Riz Ahmed (The Sound of Metal) +1200
Gary Oldman (Mank) +2000
Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods) +2000
Steven Yuen (Minari) +2000

Best Actress

Nominee Odds
Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) +100
Andra Day (The United States Vs. Billie Holiday) +333
Frances McDormand (Nomadland) +400
Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) +550
Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman) +1200

How do I interpret betting odds? At +100 odds, Carey Mulligan has 50% implied probability to win Best Actress. Convert more using our Betting Odds Calculator.


Best Supporting Actor

Nominee Odds
Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah) -400
Sacha Baron Cohen (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm) +300
Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami) +500
Paul Raci (The Sound of Metal) +1400
Chadwick Boseman (Da 5 Bloods) +2000

Best Supporting Actress

Nominee Odds
Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm) +225
Youn Yuh-jung (Minari) +250
Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy) +333
Olivia Colman (The Father) +600
Amanda Seyfried (Mank) +800

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Best Original Screenplay

Nominee Odds
The Trial of the Chicago 7 -175
Promising Young Woman +150
Mank +900
Minari +1000
Judas and the Black Messiah +2000

Best Adapted Screenplay

Nominee Odds
Nomadland -278
One Night in Miami +600
The Father +800
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom +1200
News of the World +2000

Best International Feature

Nominee Odds
Another Round (Denmark) -161
Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina) +333
Collective (Romania) +800
Dear Comrades (Russia) +1400
La Llorona (Guatemala) +1800

Best Documentary Feature

Nominee Odds
Time +100
Dick Johnson is Dead +333
Collective +400
Crip Camp +600
My Octopus Teacher +700

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