Stuckey’s College Basketball Betting Power Ratings Update: Mid-February’s Biggest Risers and Fallers

Michael Hickey/Getty Images. Pictured: Jordan Cornish.

Gonzaga and Baylor remain atop the class at over five points better than the third-best team, Michigan.

After a long pause with plenty of restrictions, the Wolverines came out flat at Wisconsin and fell behind by as many as 14 points in the first half. However, they bounced back in the second half once they found their rhythm and eventually finished off the comeback with an outright win in Madison on Sunday.

Elsewhere in the top 25, Villanova fell six spots after going down without much of a fight at Creighton. Meanwhile, Florida State ascended six spots into the top 10 after dismantling Virginia in Tallahassee. USC also saw a similar jump behind freshman sensation Evan Mobley.

You can find this week’s update at the bottom of this page. For your reference, here are notes on 10 of the biggest power ratings changes over the past week in addition to five noteworthy roster updates.

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Risers

  • Tulane (+45) — This extremely young team has seemingly figured some things out. Since Jan. 31, the Green Wave have three conference road wins against Temple, Tulsa and South Florida. They also lost by four at UCF and missed a shot to beat Cincinnati. Head coach Ron Hunter and his unique zone defense has this team headed in the right direction.
  • Longwood (+30) — Another young team that has produced positive results in recent weeks, the Lancers have won six of their last seven overall in conference play. Although, five of those did come at home in Farmville, Virginia  —including the most bizarre game-winning shot I’ve seen in a long time (see below).
  • Arkansas State (+26) — Arkansas State makes it on the biggest risers list for a second-straight week. It backed up a sweep of Louisiana with a home-and-away sweep of preseason favorite Little Rock. The defense remains a major issue and 3-point shooting regression may be on its way, but senior Marquis Eaton and a surrounding inexperienced cast have been on fire offensively.
  • Nevada (+22) — How about a fourth straight inexperienced team that seems to be trending in the right direction as we head toward March? The Pack followed up a sweep of UNLV with one over Boise State. Plus, getting swept at San Diego State by a combined seven points looks more respectable with each passing day.  Led by three transfers in Grant Sherfield (Wichita State), Desmond Cambridge (Brown) and 7-footer Warren Washington (Oregon State), they appear to be hitting their stride.
  • Notre Dame (+20) — If not for a late meltdown at Georgia Tech, Notre Dame would currently have a five-game winning streak in ACC play. Still, it’s won four of its last five and covered five in a row. Head coach Mike Brey is one of the best in the business for my money and finally has this defense playing at a more respectable level after an abysmal start. There are no issues on the other end for an offense that ranks 12th in Adjusted Efficiency, per KenPom.

Fallers

  • Robert Morris (-37) — Bobby Mo finally won an overtime game after losing its first four of the season, but this adjustment simply reflects senior AJ Bramah announcing he’d enter the transfer portal. Bramah was averaging 21.0 points and 10.3 rebounds.
  • Fordham (-26) — A midseason coaching change has done nothing for the lowly Rams. who lost by 32 and 28 against George Mason and Saint Louis over the past week, respectively. I caught a bit of both gamesm and they look checked out.
  • Lafayette (-25) — A lot of volatility with these Patriot League teams, which started late and seem to be dealing with more COVID-19 issues than any other conference. In one of the more bizarre scheduling quirks of this wild season, Lafayette has played Loyola six times already. The Leopards went 4-2 in those games, but the four victories came by a combined 11 points and the two losses by 32. Their most recent win came in triple-OT in a game they trailed by 13 with six minutes left.
  • Charlotte (-24) — It’s been an ugly couple of weeks for the 49ers, who lost four straight to Middle Tennessee and Old Dominion. In fairness, two of those losses were coin flips, but the offense has major issues in regards to turnovers and rebounds. It’s ugly right now for a team that actually had non-conference wins over Western Kentucky and Davidson.
  • Long Island (-23) — The Sharks have dropped 4-of-5 in February in NEC play. If they aren’t forcing turnovers, they simply can’t score. I caught long stretches of a few of their recent games, and the scoring droughts never seem to end.
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Key Roster Notes

  • Look out for Oregon, which just swept the Arizona Pac-12 road swing. The Ducks are getting healthier and recently saw the return of the invaluable Chris Duarte.
  • It doesn’t sound as if Bourama Sidibe will play again this year for Syracuse. The Orange could really use his length and another body to help their lack of depth.
  • Boston College point guard Wynston Tabbs is done for the season after violating COVID-19 protocols.
  • UConn finally saw the return of electric sophomore James Bouknight, who dropped 18 in a win over Providence on Tuesday in his first action since early January.
  • Freshman Jalen Johnson has opted out of the remainder of the season for Duke.

Click the “DELTA RANK” column to sort by the biggest movers over the past week.

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