New York Mets Odds
|World Series Odds||+1000|
|Regular Season Wins||90.5|
|To Make Playoffs||Yes -250 / No +195|
|Odds via DraftKings.|
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New York Mets Pick
Mets Win Total +4.5 Yankees Win Total (-112)
This is a fun, unique prop that pits the crosstown rivals head-to-head in a win total matchup. For the Mets to cash, they just need to win four games or fewer than the Yankees. PECOTA has the Yankees winning this prop, with a projected 100 wins compared to the Mets’ 92. FanGraphs sides with the Mets at 91 compared to the Yankees’ 95.
I tend to agree with FanGraphs here. Both teams are favored to win the division and both play in competitive divisions, but I can’t get over the Yankees’ rotational uncertainty. Gerrit Cole is Gerrit Cole, but behind him is a group of talented pitchers who are either injury-prone, volatile, or both.
The Mets are far from flawless, but the rotation, top to bottom, is stronger, and that alone is enough to make it seem likely they’ll at least come within four wins of the Yankees’ win total.
Projected 26-Man Roster
Courtesy of FanGraphs
Starting pitchers: Jacob deGrom, Marcus Stroman, Taijuan Walker, David Peterson, Joey Lucchesi
Bullpen: Edwin Díaz, Trevor May, Miguel Castro, Dellin Betances, Jeurys Familia, Aaron Loup, Jacob Barnes, Robert Gsellman
Catchers: James McCann, Tomás Nido
Infielders: Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, Jeff McNeil, J.D. Davis, Luis Guillorme, Jonathan Villar
Outfielders: Michael Conforto, Brandon Nimmo, Dominic Smith, Kevin Pillar, Albert Almora Jr.