Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix Odds, Starting Grid: Max Verstappen, Not Lewis Hamilton, the Favorite

Dan Istitene – Formula 1/Formula 1 via Getty Images. Pictured: Lewis Hamilton.

It might be strange to see Mercedes’ Lewis Hamilton not atop the odds board as he begins his chase for an eighth straight World Championship.

But that’s the case for Sunday’s Bahrain Grand Prix (11 a.m. ET, ESPN).

Red Bull’s Max Verstappen is a -175 favorite at PointsBet. A $17.50 bet will pay out $10 in winnings, and those odds give him a 54% chance to win (with the juice removed).

It shouldn’t come as any surprise, though. Red Bull looked excellent in testing all winter, Merc was average by its standards and Verstappen took the pole for Bahrain by an incredible 0.388 seconds over Hamilton.


Prior to qualifying, most sportsbooks listed Hamilton and Verstappen about even, each at +150, with their teammates Valtteri Bottas and Sergio Perez the only other drivers under 10-1.

Mercedes’ did land its second car in the third spot, with Bottas finishing just ahead of Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc in qualifying. That’s good news for both teams — it indicates Merc has made strides since poor preseason testing, and that Ferrari has reason to believe it can improve on its worst season in 40 years.

Red Bull’s Perez will start 11th but is still the fourth betting choice to win the Bahrain Grand Prix at 35-1 after Verstappen, Hamilton and Bottas.

Because there’s not a ton of subjectivity in the quality of driver and car, sportsbooks like PointsBet and DraftKings post tons of different betting on Formula 1 — matchups, groups, fastest lap, and more.

Hamilton remains the favorite to win the Drivers Championship at -120 (Bet365), with Verstappen at +125.

Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix Odds to Win

Driver Odds Probability
Max Verstappen -175 54.02%
Lewis Hamilton 190 29.27%
Valtteri Bottas 1500 5.31%
Sergio Perez 3500 2.36%
Pierre Gasly 4000 2.07%
Daniel Ricciardo 5000 1.66%
Charles Leclerc 6600 1.27%
Lando Norris 8000 1.05%
Carlos Sainz Jr. 12500 0.67%
Fernando Alonso 25000 0.34%
Yuki Tsunoda 25000 0.34%
Lance Stroll 30000 0.28%
Kimi Räikkönen 50000 0.17%
Sebastian Vettel 50000 0.17%
Esteban Ocon 50000 0.17%
Antonio Giovinazzi 50000 0.17%
George Russell 50000 0.17%
Nicholas Latifi 50000 0.17%
Mick Schumacher 50000 0.17%
Nikita Mazepin 50000 0.17%

Bahrain Grand Prix Starting Grid

Position Driver Team
1 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
3 Valtteri Bottas Mercedes
4 Charles Leclerc Ferrari
5 Pierre Gasly AlphaTauri
6 Daniel Ricciardo McLaren
7 Lando Norris McLaren
8 Carlos Sainz Ferrari
9 Fernando Alonso Alpine
10 Lance Stroll Aston Martin
11 Sergio Perez Red Bull
12 Antonio Giovinazzi Alfa Romeo
13 Yuki Tsunoda AlphaTauri
14 Kimi Räikkönen Alfa Romeo
15 George Russell Williams
16 Esteban Ocon Alpine
17 Nicholas Latifi Williams
18 Sebastian Vettel Aston Martin
19 Mick Schumacher Haas
20 Nikita Mazepin Haas

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